Prime Sports NASCAR – weekly picks update heading to Watkins Glen

A week after Greg won $342 on Kevin Harvick at Michigan, the SHR driver landed him $100 more in profits following his victory last Sunday in Richmond. He was the only one of our 3 to have Harvick for the Federated Auto Parts 400 too.

Now we get Watkins Glen.

Prime Sports NASCAR Preview Show Here

  • Hendrick Motorsports has won the last 3 races at Watkins Glen
  • Counting Joe Gibbs Racing, them and HMS have combined to win each of the last 5 WGI races as well as 6 of the last 8 with 5 different drivers.
  • Trackhouse Racing has won 2 of the 4 road course races this season with RCR the other. 
  • Chevrolet has won each of the 4 road course races in 2022 and the final 6 of 2021 for 10 straight wins on these tracks. Factor in the 2019 race at Watkins Glen (2 races in 2019) and the 2 races (Daytona, Charlotte) in 2020 and you get Chevy scoring 14 wins in the last 15 road course races in general.
  • Also, 3 of the 4 road course races in 2022 were won by a 1st time winner. Factor in AJ Allmendinger’s win at Indy last year and Tyler Reddick’s last 2 this year and Christopher Bell’s in Daytona in February (2021) and you get 6 of the last 11 road races being won by a driver scoring their 1st or 2nd win on them.

Go Bowling at The Glen key stat (qualifying matters here)

  • 10 of the last 11 winners have started in the top 3 Rows including the last 4 from the top 2 Rows.
  • 15 of the last 17 have started in the top 10.
  • 12 of the last 14 races on the season were won from the top 4 rows including 6 of the last 8 from the top 5. 
  • Starting positions on road courses this season: 16th (COTA), 8th (Sonoma), 4th(Road America), 1st (Indy).

Live In Race Betting Trends To Watch

  • Don’t expect a late caution. The last time we’ve had a caution inside of 20 to go was in 2016.
  • In the stage era, there’s been five combined cautions the last three years that weren’t stage break related.
  • None of the 4 road course races this season saw the eventual winner get stage points in the 1st stage. They did in 3 of the 4 Stage 2’s though going 8th, 4th, 10th and no points respectively.
  • Just 2 of the last 12 races on the season did the eventual winner even finish in the top 5 of the opening stage.
  • 14 of the last 17 races did the eventual race winner get stage points in the 2ndstage.
  • Since Memorial Day weekend just once has a stage winner in either stage won a race (Chase Elliott in Atlanta).
  • 8 of the last 10 races the eventual race winner led laps only in the final stage including 3 of the last 5.

Race Odds

5-1…C Elliott

6-1…T Reddick

9-1…K Larson

10-1…R Chastain, A Cindric and M Truex Jr.

12-1…R Blaney

15-1…Kyle B and Hamlin

18-1…C Bell and D Suarez

25-1…AJ Allmendinger, C Briscoe and K Harvick

30-1…C Buescher, W Byron, J Logano and M McDowell

40-1…A Bowman

50-1…C Custer, B Keselowski and Kimi Raikkonen

100-1…A Dillon, T Gibbs and D Wallace

250-1…A Almirola and E Jones

500-1…H Burton, J Haley and R Stenhouse Jr.

NOTE: Each analyst has a weekly wagering limit of $100.

NOTE: The weekly wagering limits will increase $100 for each playoff round ending with a $500 wagering limit for the Championship Four race.

GO BOWLING AT THE GLEN PICKS: RACE 25

Greg DePalma

R Chastain…10-1…$9 ($90) 

A Cindric…10-1…$9 ($90) 

M Truex Jr…10-1…$20 ($200) 

R Blaney…12-1…$15 ($180) 

C Bell…18-1…$18 ($324) 

AJ Allmendinger…25-1…$4 ($100)

C Briscoe…25-1…$4 ($100)

C Buescher…30-1…$6 ($180) 

J Logano…30-1…$6 ($180) 

M McDowell…30-1…$4 ($120) 

B Wallace…100-1…$3 ($300)

E Jones…250-1…$2 ($500)

RECORD: 11 for 24

TOTAL: -201

Eric Smith

C Elliott…5-1…$25 ($125) 

T Reddick…6-1…$19 ($114)

R Chastain…10-1…$12 ($120) 

A Cindric…10-1…$12 ($120) 

D Suarez…18-1…$6 ($108) 

AJ Allmendinger…25-1…$5 ($125)

C Buescher…30-1…$6 ($180) 

M McDowell…30-1…$5 ($150) 

B Keselowski…50-1…$3 ($150)

T Gibbs…100-1…$2 ($200)

E Jones…250-1…$2 ($500)

H Burton…500-1…$2 ($1000)

J Haley…500-1…$1 ($500) 

RECORD: 13 for 24

TOTAL: -516

CJ Radune

C Elliott…5-1…$24 ($120)

K Larson…9-1…$14 ($126) 

R Chastain…10-1…$12 ($120) 

A Cindric…10-1…$12 ($120) 

Kyle B…15-1…$8 ($120) 

D Hamlin…15-1…$9 ($135) 

D Suarez…18-1…$7 ($126) 

AJ Allmendinger…25-1…$5 ($125)

C Buescher…30-1…$4 ($120) 

K Raikkonen…50-1…$3 ($150)

T Gibbs…100-1…$2 ($200)

RECORD: 14 for 24

TOTAL: -521

ARCHIVES

FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 PICKS: RACE 24

FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 WINNER: Kevin Harvick

Greg DePalma

M Truex Jr…6-1…$15 ($90) …7th 

C Bell…8-1…$20 ($160) …2nd

R Blaney…12-1…$20 ($240) …10th 

B Wallace…15-1…$10 ($150) …13th

K Harvick…20-1…$10 ($200) …1st

W Byron…20-1…$5 ($100) …11th 

J Logano…20-1…$10 ($200) …6th 

A Bowman…30-1…$5 ($150) …20th  

A Dillon…50-1…$5 ($250) …16th 

RECORD: 1 for 1

TOTAL: +110

Eric Smith

D Hamlin…6-1…$27 ($162) …4th

M Truex Jr…6-1…$26 ($156) …7th     

C Bell…8-1…$15 ($120) …2nd  

R Chastain…12-1…$10 ($120) …18th 

B Wallace…15-1…$7 ($105) …13th

T Reddick…20-1…$6 ($120) …31st 

D Suarez…25-1…$5 ($125) …19th

A Dillon…50-1…$4 ($200) …16th   

RECORD: 0 for 1

TOTAL: -100

CJ Radune

D Hamlin…6-1…$18 ($108) …4th  

M Truex Jr…6-1…$18 ($108) …7th 

Kyle B…7-1…$16 ($112) …9th  

C Elliott…9-1…$13 ($117) …5th  

K Larson…10-1…$11 ($110) …14th 

R Blaney…12-1…$9 ($108) …10th   

W Byron…20-1…$6 ($120) …11th

A Bowman…30-1…$4 ($120) …20th    

E Jones…50-1…$3 ($150) …35th

B Keselowski…100-1…$2 ($200) …15th

RECORD: 0 for 1

TOTAL: -100

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