Kansas is a tough place for someone outside of the big programs to win at. Just look at the recent history of winners. Brad Keselowski, Jimmie Johnson, Denny Hamlin, Matt Kenseth, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr. and Chase Elliott. These nine drivers have combined to win every Kansas race since 2011.
But, with track position being key and the luck of maybe a late race caution during the final pit sequence, you could get a sleeper winner this year. Here are the top ones if so.
Plus, we’ve had a lot of parity on 1.5-mile tracks in general. 12 straight different drivers have won on them.
Ryan Blaney (11-1)
He won earlier this season in Atlanta and had six top seven finishes in his last 11 Kansas starts.
Alex Bowman (14-1)
He has been really good at Kansas. Bowman, was seventh when he filled in for Dale Earnhardt Jr. several seasons ago. Since then, he also has five straight top 11 results on the 1.5-mile track including being runner-up in this race in 2019 and eighth and fourth respectively last year.
William Byron (14-1)
8 straight top eight finishes and three straight top 10’s at Kansas. No brainer here.
Christopher Bell (25-1)
Worth a risk here. He was 10th in last year’s playoff race and scored his first career NXS win on this very track.
Matt DiBenedetto (50-1)
He nearly won last Sunday. He was 12th on this track last Fall. He also had a pair of runner-up finishes in a similar track at Las Vegas last year too. He rolls off fifth on a track that rewards clean air and track position. Go for it here.
Austin Dillon (60-1)
He has a good history at Kansas and has a top 12 in all three races run on 550 tracks this season.
Tyler Reddick (60-1)
Another good pick. He has a good starting spot and has been solid on 550 tracks in 2021.
Cole Custer (80-1)
He won on a similar track in Kentucky last July to go along with being seventh and 14th respectively on this track as a rookie in 2021.