After Brad Keselowski stomped the field en route to his fourth NASCAR Cup Series victory of the season last Saturday night at Richmond, we have to start asking ourselves if Keselowski is one of the favorites to be hoisting the championship trophy at Phoenix in November.
I hate to be that guy that overreacts to one win and say just because of that they’re now a title hopeful. I mean, the win was Keselowski’s first top five in the last seven starts on the season. But, I do think this is a rare circumstance to where we have to put him in the “favorites” category.
Yes, it seems like Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin are the favorites to take half of the Championship 4 spots. They have 62 and 48 playoff points respectively. Hamlin, won the fall Phoenix race last year too.
Despite that, Keselowski is going to likely be there with them. Here’s why.
The 750 horsepower tracks are his bread and butter right now. We’ve had eight races on these circuits this season and no one has won as many of them as Keselowski. Three of his four wins have come on these tracks including at this very track were racing at this weekend at Bristol this past May.
His teammate Joey Logano won at Phoenix in May. Martin Truex Jr won at Martinsville in June. Chase Elliott won on the Daytona road course while Denny Hamlin and Kevin Harvick all won at Dover last month too. Keselowski won at Bristol, New Hampshire and Richmond. That’s three wins for him and one for everyone else.
Keselowski says that these tracks are their strengths right now and with Martinsville in the Round of 8 and Phoenix as the championship, isn’t Keselowski now among the favorites?
He has 35 playoff points, third most. He can withstand a mulligan next round which as he says may be needed on the Charlotte ROVAL. He said that they’re a sub 10th place team on these tracks. Superspeedway’s are another strength for them and Talladega can play into their favor.
Vegas kicks off the Round of 12, so Keselowski can get to the Round of 8 which then shows he can make the Final Four.