Prime Sports NASCAR – weekly picks update from the ROVAL and who we chose for Vegas

Greg lucked out on the fantasy side as well as on the picks side too in landing a big win from Christopher Bell in Sunday’s race at Charlotte. That was a $600 win for him heading to the final 4 races of the season.

Prime Sports NASCAR preview show

South Point 400 Preview:
Ford has been the most dominant team on the 1.5-mile track with 13 wins in 29 tries but were shutout a year ago. However, Toyota’s have dominated this track and Kansas (the closest resembling track) this season.
In the spring race, Toyota led 107 of the 274 laps (39%) that day. In Kansas 1, they led 171 of 267 laps (64%) and took home finishing spots 1-3-4-5-6. In Kansas 2, they led 94 of the 267 laps (35%) but finished 1-2-3-5.
South Point 400 Top Stats:
• 5 times has the winner of the 7th playoff race gone on to win the title later that season – 2007 Jimmie Johnson (Atlanta), 2011 Tony Stewart (Martinsville), 2016 – Jimmie Johnson (Martinsville), 2018 – Joey Logano (Martinsville), 2021 – Kyle Larson (Texas).
• Vegas has become a track that has produced a ton of lead changes lately with the last 6 featuring at least 20 including 7 of the last 8 overall.
• Joey Logano’s spring win in 2020 was the first time that a Cup winner was under the age of 30 in any of the previous races run at the track. Kyle Larson then won last year and was 28 at the time. This past spring, Alex Bowman was 29 in his spring race win this past year giving us 3 of the last 5 being under the age of 30.
South Point 400 Live Trends
• Here’s a strange but true stat, the second stage winner at Vegas has won seven times and was fifth in another in 10 tries. 2020 was the only outlier when Chase Elliott swept both stages in the spring race but cut a tire in the end. Kurt Busch snuck up and stole a win in the Fall race. That’s 4 of the last 6 races this stage produced the race winner too. So even though Alex Bowman didn’t score a stage point this past spring in this stage, it’s worth watching.
• Vegas is like Kansas and in the 3 combined races we had there this year, just once did the eventual race winner lead a lap in the first stage.

RACE FUTURES: SOUTH POINT 400

 

Race Odds

6-1…D Hamlin

8-1…C Bell, C Elliott and T Reddick

9-1…R Chastain and K Larson

10-1…W Byron

12-1…R Blaney and J Logano

15-1…A Bowman, Kyle B, M Truex Jr. and B Wallace

25-1…C Briscoe

30-1…K Harvick

40-1…Suarez

50-1…A Cindric and A Dillon

100-1…AJ Allmendinger, A Almirola, C Buescher, T Gibbs, E Jones, B Keselowski and M McDowell

250-1…H Burton, C Custer and R Stenhouse Jr. 

500-1…T Dillon and J Haley

 

NOTE: Each analyst has a weekly wagering limit of $100.

NOTE: The weekly wagering limits will increase $100 for each playoff round ending with a $500 wagering limit for the Championship Four race.

 

SOUTH POINT 400 PICKS: RACE 33

 

Greg DePalma

D Hamlin…6-1…$115 ($690) 

C Bell…8-1…$70 ($560)

R Chastain…9-1…$50 ($450) 

W Byron…10-1…$40 ($400) 

R Blaney…12-1…$75 ($900) 

M Truex Jr…15-1…$25 ($375) 

K Harvick…30-1…$15 ($450)  

A Almirola…100-1…$10 ($1000) 

 

RECORD: 17 for 32

TOTAL: -121

 

Eric Smith

D Hamlin…6-1…$95 ($570) 

C Bell…8-1…$52 ($416)

T Reddick…8-1…$52 ($416)

R Chastain…9-1…$57 ($513) 

W Byron…10-1…$42 ($420) 

Kyle B…15-1…$27 ($405) 

M Truex Jr…15-1…$27 ($405) 

C Briscoe…25-1…$17 ($425)  

K Harvick…30-1…$14 ($420)  

C Buescher…100-1…$5 ($500) 

E Jones…100-1…$5 ($500) 

M McDowell…100-1…$5 ($500) 

R Stenhouse Jr…250-1…$2 ($500)

 

RECORD: 17 for 32

TOTAL: -1,084

CJ Radune

D Hamlin…6-1…$70 ($420) 

C Bell…8-1…$52 ($416)

C Elliott…8-1…$55 ($440)

R Chastain…9-1…$50 ($450) 

K Larson…9-1…$50 ($450) 

R Blaney…12-1…$35 ($420) 

J Logano…12-1…$35 ($420) 

M Truex Jr…15-1…$28 ($420) 

K Harvick…30-1…$14 ($420)  

D Suarez…40-1…$11 ($440) 

 

RECORD: 18 for 32

TOTAL: -1,362

 

ARCHIVES

 

BANK OF AMERICA ROVAL 400 PICKS: RACE 32

BANK OF AMERICA ROVAL 400WINNER: Christopher Bell

 

Greg DePalma

K Larson…8-1…$60 ($480) …35th

AJ Allmendinger…12-1…$40 ($480)…4th

W Byron…12-1…$25 ($300) …16th

C Bell…15-1…$30 ($450) …1st

R Blaney…15-1…$50 ($750) …26th

R Chastain…15-1…$40 ($600) …37th

J Logano…15-1…$40 ($600) …18th

M McDowell…30-1…$15 ($450) …27th   

 

RECORD: 1 for 1

TOTAL: +180

 

Eric Smith

C Elliott…5-1…$70 ($350) …20th

K Larson…8-1…$45 ($360) …35th

AJ Allmendinger…12-1…$31 ($372)…4th  

R Blaney…15-1…$27 ($405) …26th

R Chastain…15-1…$27 ($405) …37th

A Cindric…15-1…$27 ($405) …21st

D Suarez…15-1…$22 ($330) …36th

J Logano…15-1…$27 ($405) …18th  

C Buescher…25-1…$12 ($300) …6th  

M McDowell…30-1…$12 ($360) …27th     

 

RECORD: 0 for 1

TOTAL: -300

CJ Radune

C Elliott…5-1…$65 ($325) …20th

T Reddick…6-1…$60 ($360) …8th

K Larson…8-1…$40 ($320) …35th

AJ Allmendinger…12-1…$30 ($360)…4th   

D Hamlin…12-1…$30 ($360) …13th  

R Blaney…15-1…$25 ($375) …26th

A Cindric…15-1…$25 ($375) …21st  

M Truex Jr…25-1…$25 ($625) …17th

 

RECORD: 0 for 1

TOTAL: -300

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