Greg lucked out on the fantasy side as well as on the picks side too in landing a big win from Christopher Bell in Sunday’s race at Charlotte. That was a $600 win for him heading to the final 4 races of the season.
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South Point 400 Preview:
Ford has been the most dominant team on the 1.5-mile track with 13 wins in 29 tries but were shutout a year ago. However, Toyota’s have dominated this track and Kansas (the closest resembling track) this season.
In the spring race, Toyota led 107 of the 274 laps (39%) that day. In Kansas 1, they led 171 of 267 laps (64%) and took home finishing spots 1-3-4-5-6. In Kansas 2, they led 94 of the 267 laps (35%) but finished 1-2-3-5.
South Point 400 Top Stats:
• 5 times has the winner of the 7th playoff race gone on to win the title later that season – 2007 Jimmie Johnson (Atlanta), 2011 Tony Stewart (Martinsville), 2016 – Jimmie Johnson (Martinsville), 2018 – Joey Logano (Martinsville), 2021 – Kyle Larson (Texas).
• Vegas has become a track that has produced a ton of lead changes lately with the last 6 featuring at least 20 including 7 of the last 8 overall.
• Joey Logano’s spring win in 2020 was the first time that a Cup winner was under the age of 30 in any of the previous races run at the track. Kyle Larson then won last year and was 28 at the time. This past spring, Alex Bowman was 29 in his spring race win this past year giving us 3 of the last 5 being under the age of 30.
South Point 400 Live Trends
• Here’s a strange but true stat, the second stage winner at Vegas has won seven times and was fifth in another in 10 tries. 2020 was the only outlier when Chase Elliott swept both stages in the spring race but cut a tire in the end. Kurt Busch snuck up and stole a win in the Fall race. That’s 4 of the last 6 races this stage produced the race winner too. So even though Alex Bowman didn’t score a stage point this past spring in this stage, it’s worth watching.
• Vegas is like Kansas and in the 3 combined races we had there this year, just once did the eventual race winner lead a lap in the first stage.
RACE FUTURES: SOUTH POINT 400
Race Odds
6-1…D Hamlin
8-1…C Bell, C Elliott and T Reddick
9-1…R Chastain and K Larson
10-1…W Byron
12-1…R Blaney and J Logano
15-1…A Bowman, Kyle B, M Truex Jr. and B Wallace
25-1…C Briscoe
30-1…K Harvick
40-1…Suarez
50-1…A Cindric and A Dillon
100-1…AJ Allmendinger, A Almirola, C Buescher, T Gibbs, E Jones, B Keselowski and M McDowell
250-1…H Burton, C Custer and R Stenhouse Jr.
500-1…T Dillon and J Haley
NOTE: Each analyst has a weekly wagering limit of $100.
NOTE: The weekly wagering limits will increase $100 for each playoff round ending with a $500 wagering limit for the Championship Four race.
SOUTH POINT 400 PICKS: RACE 33
Greg DePalma
D Hamlin…6-1…$115 ($690)
C Bell…8-1…$70 ($560)
R Chastain…9-1…$50 ($450)
W Byron…10-1…$40 ($400)
R Blaney…12-1…$75 ($900)
M Truex Jr…15-1…$25 ($375)
K Harvick…30-1…$15 ($450)
A Almirola…100-1…$10 ($1000)
RECORD: 17 for 32
TOTAL: -121
Eric Smith
D Hamlin…6-1…$95 ($570)
C Bell…8-1…$52 ($416)
T Reddick…8-1…$52 ($416)
R Chastain…9-1…$57 ($513)
W Byron…10-1…$42 ($420)
Kyle B…15-1…$27 ($405)
M Truex Jr…15-1…$27 ($405)
C Briscoe…25-1…$17 ($425)
K Harvick…30-1…$14 ($420)
C Buescher…100-1…$5 ($500)
E Jones…100-1…$5 ($500)
M McDowell…100-1…$5 ($500)
R Stenhouse Jr…250-1…$2 ($500)
RECORD: 17 for 32
TOTAL: -1,084
CJ Radune
D Hamlin…6-1…$70 ($420)
C Bell…8-1…$52 ($416)
C Elliott…8-1…$55 ($440)
R Chastain…9-1…$50 ($450)
K Larson…9-1…$50 ($450)
R Blaney…12-1…$35 ($420)
J Logano…12-1…$35 ($420)
M Truex Jr…15-1…$28 ($420)
K Harvick…30-1…$14 ($420)
D Suarez…40-1…$11 ($440)
RECORD: 18 for 32
TOTAL: -1,362
ARCHIVES
BANK OF AMERICA ROVAL 400 PICKS: RACE 32
BANK OF AMERICA ROVAL 400WINNER: Christopher Bell
Greg DePalma
K Larson…8-1…$60 ($480) …35th
AJ Allmendinger…12-1…$40 ($480)…4th
W Byron…12-1…$25 ($300) …16th
C Bell…15-1…$30 ($450) …1st
R Blaney…15-1…$50 ($750) …26th
R Chastain…15-1…$40 ($600) …37th
J Logano…15-1…$40 ($600) …18th
M McDowell…30-1…$15 ($450) …27th
RECORD: 1 for 1
TOTAL: +180
Eric Smith
C Elliott…5-1…$70 ($350) …20th
K Larson…8-1…$45 ($360) …35th
AJ Allmendinger…12-1…$31 ($372)…4th
R Blaney…15-1…$27 ($405) …26th
R Chastain…15-1…$27 ($405) …37th
A Cindric…15-1…$27 ($405) …21st
D Suarez…15-1…$22 ($330) …36th
J Logano…15-1…$27 ($405) …18th
C Buescher…25-1…$12 ($300) …6th
M McDowell…30-1…$12 ($360) …27th
RECORD: 0 for 1
TOTAL: -300
CJ Radune
C Elliott…5-1…$65 ($325) …20th
T Reddick…6-1…$60 ($360) …8th
K Larson…8-1…$40 ($320) …35th
AJ Allmendinger…12-1…$30 ($360)…4th
D Hamlin…12-1…$30 ($360) …13th
R Blaney…15-1…$25 ($375) …26th
A Cindric…15-1…$25 ($375) …21st
M Truex Jr…25-1…$25 ($625) …17th
RECORD: 0 for 1
TOTAL: -300