Eric didn’t pick a non playoff driver and it cost him $40 as Greg and CJ both net a win via Erik Jones’ unlikely triumph in last Sunday’s Southern 500 at Darlington.
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Hollywood Casino 400 Top Stats
• 7 of the last 11 Kansas winners have come from the top five of the starting lineup including 3 of the last 4.
• 11 of the last 13 Kansas winners started in the top 6 Rows.
• 3 of the last 5 race winners on the season though have started 13th or worse too. The 12 races prior however were all won by a starter from the top 4 Rows though.
• There’s been no OT finishes in each of the last 5 races including 11 of the last 13 in general.
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• The eventual race winner scored stage points in every first stage under the stage era with the exception of May.
• The eventual race winner finished in the top 2 in 4 of the last 7 first stages. Both winners last year won the opening stage.
• The eventual race winner finished in the top 5 in 5 of the last 6 2nd stages and 8 of the 11 overall second stages.
• The odd thing is, just twice has the eventual race winner at Kansas actually won a second stage (2019 playoff race, May 2022).
Race Odds
5-1…D Hamlin
6-1…Kyle B
7-1…C Elliott and M Truex Jr.
8-1… K Larson
10-1…C Bell
12-1…R Chastain and T Reddick
15-1…R Blaney and K Harvick
20-1…W Byron, J Logano and B Wallace
35-1…A Bowman, T Gibbs and Suarez
50-1…C Briscoe, A Cindric, A Dillon and E Jones
100-1…B Keselowski
250-1…A Almirola, C Buescher, M McDowell and R Stenhouse Jr.
500-1…H Burton, C Custer, T Dillon, N Gragson and J Haley
NOTE: Each analyst has a weekly wagering limit of $100.
NOTE: The weekly wagering limits will increase $100 for each playoff round ending with a $500 wagering limit for the Championship Four race.
HOLLYWOOD CASINO 400 PICKS: RACE 28
Greg DePalma
K Larson…8-1…$35 ($280)
C Bell…10-1…$40 ($400)
T Reddick…12-1…$30 ($360)
R Blaney…15-1…$20 ($300)
K Harvick…15-1…$20 ($300)
W Byron…20-1…$20 ($400)
J Logano…20-1…$10 ($200)
B Wallace…20-1…$10 ($200)
A Bowman…35-1…$15 ($525)
RECORD: 13 for 27
TOTAL: -233
CJ Radune
D Hamlin…5-1…$45 ($225)
Kyle B…6-1…$37 ($222)
C Elliott…7-1…$32 ($224)
K Larson…8-1…$28 ($224)
C Bell…10-1…$24 ($240)
T Reddick…12-1…$20 ($240)
W Byron…20-1…$14 ($280)
RECORD: 17 for 27
TOTAL: -413
Eric Smith
D Hamlin…5-1…$49 ($245)
Kyle B…6-1…$40 ($240)
K Larson…8-1…$30 ($240)
C Bell…10-1…$25 ($250)
T Reddick…12-1…$17 ($204)
K Harvick…15-1…$14 ($210)
B Wallace…20-1…$12 ($240)
A Bowman…35-1…$7 ($245)
D Suarez…35-1…$6 ($210)
RECORD: 14 for 27
TOTAL: -792
ARCHIVES
COOK OUT SOUTHERN 500 PICKS: RACE 27
COOK OUT SOUTHERN 500 WINNER: Erik Jones
Greg DePalma
K Larson…6-1…$24 ($144) …12th
T Reddick…7-1…$25 ($175) …3rd
C Elliott…8-1…$25 ($200) …36th
D Hamlin…9-1…$50 ($450) …2nd
Kyle B…10-1…$25 ($250) …30th
R Chastain…15-1…$13 ($195) …20th
K Harvick…15-1…$30 ($450) …33rd
C Briscoe…50-1…$4 ($200) …27th
E Jones…60-1…$4 ($240) …1st
RECORD: 1 for 1
TOTAL: +44
CJ Radune
K Larson…6-1…$36 ($216) …12th
T Reddick…7-1…$32 ($224) …3rd
C Elliott…8-1…$28 ($224) …36th
J Logano…8-1…$28 ($224) …4th
D Hamlin…9-1…$26 ($234) …2nd
R Blaney…15-1…$16 ($240) …13th
R Chastain…15-1…$16 ($240) …20th
K Harvick…15-1…$14 ($210) …33rd
E Jones…60-1…$4 ($240) …1st
RECORD: 1 for 1
TOTAL: +44
Eric Smith
K Larson…6-1…$40 ($240) …12th
T Reddick…7-1…$40 ($280) …3rd
J Logano…8-1…$30 ($240) …4th
D Hamlin…9-1…$30 ($270) …2nd
R Chastain…15-1…$20 ($300) …20th
K Harvick…15-1…$23 ($345) …33rd
C Bell…20-1…$10 ($200) …5th
A Dillon…30-1…$7 ($210) …17th
RECORD: 0 for 1
TOTAL: -200