Greg scored his 6th win of the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season by having Christopher Bell reach victory lane last Sunday in Loudon. Both he and CJ each had 2 drivers finish in the top 5 in the Ambetter 301. However, those were their lone drivers in the top 10 too.
Eric had 4 of his 7 drivers finish in the top 10 including 5 of his 7 in the top 14 at that which is why he didn’t fall behind much heading to Pocono this weekend.
Greg leads Eric by 110 points with Eric ahead of CJ by just 45.
Chase Elliott has 4 straight top 2 finishes on the season but has no finishes better than 4th at Pocono and 4 of his last 5 have seen him finish 12th or worse at that. His struggling teammates of Alex Bowman (1 top 5 last 14, 3 of last 4 32nd or worse) and William Byron (1 top 10 last 12) may need Pocono to turn things around.
Bowman had a win and seventh place finish last year to go along with a ninth in Race 2 of 2020 gives him three straight top 10’s on the track. Byron has 5 top 10’s in his last 7 at Pocono including 3 of which being in the top 6.
Kyle Larson was ninth but should have won the first race last year and runner-up in the second. He was fifth in 2020 and runner-up in June of 2019 too.
They have have to beat Joe Gibbs Racing though.
Joe Gibbs Racing and Toyota in general has won 7 of the last 9 at Pocono. Kyle Busch hasn’t finished better than 12th in any of his last 5 races including 4 of the 5 being 20th or worse. However, he has 9 top 10 finishes in his last 10 at Pocono including 4 of his last 9 being wins. He had a top 2 in both races run last year.
Martin Truex Jr. needs a win and has 5 top 6’s in his last 10 tries. Denny Hamlin has had a lot of success at Pocono lately as it’s honestly been his playground. Hamlin, has six wins there including two of which in the last five. He was also runner-up in another for six top sixes in his last seven Pocono tries in general. Christopher Bell enters off of a win last Sunday.
Between JGR, Hendrick and by throwing in Stewart-Haas Racing and you get 17 of the last 19 Pocono winners belonging to JGR or 1 of their affiliate teams, Hendrick or SHR.
1 of the 2 that they didn’t win was a fluke rain shortened race in 2016.
SHR doesn’t look like they have the pace this year to keep up but are worth plays due to their favorable odds. Pocono is a track that lends to varying strategies so they’re worth a risk. That’s why JGR and HMS drivers are the ones to bet on.
M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 key stat
Don’t get too hung up on qualifying this weekend. Only 1 of the last 7 Pocono races have seen the winner come from the top 4 Rows.
Live In Race Betting Trends To Watch
• 5 of the last 6 Stage 1’s at Pocono, the eventual race winner didn’t even score stage points. Keep that in mind as you live bet. On the season, just once in the last 8 races has the eventual winner even finished in the top 5 in stage 1. In saying that, Pocono will race a lot like a road course in terms of strategy and none of the 3 road course races run this year saw the winner finish in the points at the end of Stage 1. May be best to look at drivers who finished 11th on back in Stage 1.
• 6 of the last 7 Stage 2’s at Pocono, the eventual race winner did score stage points but finished 5th or worse each time. For the year, 10 of the last 12 2nd stages saw the eventual winner get stage points. Like the point for Stage 1, this will look strategy wise like a road course race and 2 of the 3 road races saw the winner finish 8th, 4th and 10th respectively. For this stage though, the winner likely comes from 6th-10th as a result.
• Also, the eventual race winner failed to lead the most laps in 6 of the last 9 races at Pocono including 3 straight. For the year, the eventual winner didn’t lead a single lap until the final stage in 4 of the last 6 races.
1 TEAM GDP – 3,980 points (6 wins)
R Blaney… 670 (1 win)
A Bowman… 565 (1 win)
C Bell… 545 (1 win)
C Briscoe… 410 (1 win)
T Reddick…380 (1 win)
Waived/Traded Drivers… (875; 1 win)
2 TEAM ERIC – 3,870 points (8 wins)
R Chastain… 675 (2 wins)
D Hamlin… 645 (2 wins)
J Logano… 575 (2 wins)
D Suarez… 490 (1 win)
A Almirola… 445
Kurt B…295 (1 win)
Waived/Traded Drivers… (275)
3 TEAM CJ – 3,825 points (7 wins)
C Elliott… 825 (3 wins)
Kyle B… 740(1 win)
A Cindric… 660 (1 win)
M Truex Jr… 495
W Byron… 450(2 wins)
A Dillon… 395
E Jones… 205
Waived Drivers… (55)
5/27 (After Race 18/Nashville)
Team GDP waives R Stenhouse Jr. (105 points) for M McDowell.
5/16 (After Race 13/Kansas)
Team GDP waives J Haley (0 points) for R Stenhouse Jr.
5/9 (After Race 12/Darlington)
Team GDP waives B Keselowski (210 points) for J Haley.
4/25 (After Race 10/Talladega)
Team CJ waives H Burton (55 points) for E Jones.
3/15 (After Race 4/Phoenix)
Team GDP waives D Wallace (200 points) for C Bell.
3/14(After Race 4/Phoenix)
Team ERIC waives C Bell (35 points) for R Chastain.
3/2(After Race 2/Fontana)
Team GDP waives C Buescher (30 points) for C Briscoe.
3/29 (After Race 6/Texas Road) Team GDP Acquired K Harvick (120 points) and T Reddick (120 points) from Team ERIC forK Larson (170 points, 1 win) and Kurt B (160 points).
Weekly Race Points Standings
Week 21 New Hampshire
1 GDP 180
2 CJ 175
3 ERIC 145
Driver Standings (Top 10)
1 C Elliott… 825 (CJ)
2 Kyle B… 740 (CJ)
3 R Chastain… 675 (ERIC)
4 R Blaney… 670 (GDP)
5 A Cindric… 660 (CJ)
6 D Hamlin… 645 (ERIC)
7 K Larson… 640 (ERIC)
8 K Harvick… 600 (GDP)
9 C Bell… 580 (GDP)
10J Logano… 575 (ERIC)