Who Wins Sunday’s Honda Indy 200 (12 p.m. ET, NBC, INDYCAR Radio Network)

TRACK: Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course (2.258-mile, 13-turn road course), DISTANCE: 80 Laps (180.64 Miles)

Race Schedule

Coverage: 12 p.m. ET

Command: 12:46 p.m. ET

Green Flag: 12:53 p.m. ET

TV: NBC

Radio: INDYCAR Radio Network (Sirius 160, local affiliates here)

Computer: racecontrol.indycar.com

Phone: INDYCAR App

Track: Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course

Distance: 80 Laps/180.64 Miles

Spotter Guide

Who Wins?

The best place to start is the top 10 qualifiers from Saturday. That’s great news for Pato O’Ward, Scott McLaughlin, Colton Herta, Felix Rosenqvist, Scott Dixon, Simon Pagenaud, Alex Palou, David Malukas, Kyle Kirkwood and Callum Ilott. The reason they’re the favorites to win?

40 of the last 42 natural road course races in the series in general saw the winner come from a top 10 (95%) starting spot.

However, I think we can narrow it down further than that though too.

14 out of the last 15 races (93%) on natural road courses were won by a top 7 starter. So lets eliminate 8th-10th placed starters are now favor – Pato O’Ward, Scott McLaughlin, Colton Herta, Felix Rosenqvist, Scott Dixon, Simon Pagenaud, Alex Palou.

Still, I think we can break it down a little further though.

6 of the last 7 races at Mid-Ohio were won by a front row starter. 6 out of the last 7 races on natural road courses were also won by a front row starter.

For Mid-Ohio 5 of the 6 were from the pole. We’ve seen 3 straight winners here from the pole and 4 out of the last 5 at that.

Then you have the “Big 3” teams too.

6 of the last 7 Mid-Ohio races have seen teammates on the podium.

2021: Penske-Ganassi-Ganassi

2020 Race 1: Penske-Penske-Andretti

2020 Race 2: Andretti-Andretti-Andretti

2019: Ganassi-Ganassi-Andretti

2018: Andretti-SPM-Penske *

2017: Penske-Penske-RLL

2016: Penske-Penske-Andretti

Prediction

  1. 3 McLaughlin
  2. 26 Herta
  3. 5 O’Ward
  4. 10 Palou
  5. 9 Dixon

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