Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, same on me. Well, what about fool me four times…..Last week, none of us three went with Kyle Larson to win at Nashville. His odds were too low for us to really do anything with. Since the Ally 400 was an inaugural event, why go with just one driver?
Well, Larson led most of the race in dominating fashion. So, with 2-1 odds, would anyone just go all out on Larson for Saturday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at the Pocono Raceway?
Eric did.
He put all $100 on Larson this weekend. I mean, why not? Larson, has a top two finish in literally every race run since Darlington. After that, he was a red flag away from a potential win in COTA. The week prior to COTA, Alex Bowman’s team beat Larson’s on the final pit stop. If that doesn’t happen, Larson is a winner of five straight, not three.
So, for a track at Pocono where it features long straights and a place to where Hendrick Motorsports to can shine again, why not go with Larson?
He was runner-up in this very race in 2018 with Ganassi.
Greg went all in on another HMS driver in William Byron (9-1). Byron, has four top 10’s in his last five Pocono starts and a top 10 in all but four races this season. Three are road courses and one is a superspeedway.
Eric or Greg could win $200 on Saturday and really make a leap.
CJ went the other direction. He took three Joe Gibbs Racing cars, two HMS cars, Kevin Harvick, Ryan Blaney and Kurt Busch.
Kurt is his big one with a potential $200 win with the rest ranging from $4-$40 wins.
Race Odds
2-1…K Larson
7-1…D Hamlin
8-1…Kyle B
9-1…W Byron, K Harvick and M Truex Jr.
10-1…C Elliott
12-1…B Keselowski
14-1…R Blaney
16-1…J Logano
20-1…A Bowman
50-1…A Almirola, C Bell, Kurt B and T Reddick
80-1…R Chastain
100-1…C Buescher, M DiBenedetto, A Dillon and E Jones
150-1…R Stenhouse Jr. and D Suarez
200-1…C Briscoe, C Custer, M McDowell, Newman and D Wallace Jr.
POCONOS ORGANICS 325: RACE 18 PICKS
Eric Smith
K Larson…2-1…$100 ($200)
RECORD: 9 for 17
TOTAL: -263
POCONOS ORGANICS 325: RACE 18 PICKS
CJ Radune
D Hamlin…7-1…$17 ($119)
Kyle B…8-1…$13 ($104)
W Byron…9-1…$15 ($135)
M Truex Jr…9-1…$15 ($135)
K Harvick…9-1…$13 ($117)
C Elliott…10-1…$13 ($130)
R Blaney…14-1…$10 ($140)
Kurt B…50-1…$4 ($200)
RECORD: 9 for 17
TOTAL: -509
POCONOS ORGANICS 325: RACE 18 PICKS
Greg DePalma
W Byron…9-1…$100 ($900)
RECORD: 3 for 17
TOTAL: -959
Weekly Race Points Standings
Week 17 Nashville
1 Eric -100/-263
2 CJ -100/-509
3 Greg -100/-959
Week 16 Sonoma
1 Eric -100/-163
2 CJ -100/-409
3 Greg -100/-859
Week 15 Charlotte
1 Eric +40/-63
2 CJ +33/-309
3 Greg +61/-759
Week 14 Texas Grand Prix
1 Eric +59/-103
2 CJ +86/-342
3 Greg -100/-820
Week 13 Dover
1 Eric -100/-162
2 CJ +26/-428
3 Greg -100/-720
Week 12 Darlington
1 Eric -100/-62
2 CJ +35/-454
3 Greg -100/-620
Week 11 Kansas
1 Eric +20/+38
2 CJ +20/-489
3 Greg +140/-520
Week 10 Talladega
1 Eric +20/+18
2 CJ +20/-509
3 Greg -100/-660
Week 9 Richmond
1 Eric +36/-2
2 CJ -100/-529
3 Greg -100/-560
Week 8 Martinsville
1 Eric +20/-38
2 CJ +32/-429
3 Greg -100/-460
Week 7 Bristol Dirt
1 Eric +290/-58
2 Greg -100/-360
3 CJ -100/-461
Week 6 Atlanta
1 Greg +240/-260
2 Eric -100/-348
3 CJ +19/-361
Week 5 Phoenix
1 Eric +20/-248
2 CJ +20/-380
3 Greg -100/-500
Week 4 Las Vegas
1 Eric +32/-268
2 Greg -100/-400
3 CJ -100/-400
Week 3 Homestead
1 Greg -100/-200
2 CJ -100/-200
3 Eric -100/-200
Week 2 Daytona Road
1 Greg -100/-200
2 CJ -100/-200
3 Eric -100/-200
Week 1 Daytona 500
1 Greg -100
2 CJ -100
3 Eric -100
WEEKLY PICKS ARCHIVES
ALLY 400: RACE 17 PICKS
ALLY 400 WINNER: KYLE LARSON
Eric Smith
C Elliott…7-1…$16 ($112) …39th/DQ
M Truex Jr…8-1…$16 ($128) …22nd
Kyle B…8-1…$15 ($120) …11th
D Hamlin…8-1…$15 ($120) …21st
W Byron…10-1…$11 ($110) …3rd
J Logano…11-1…$11 ($121) …10th
K Harvick…12-1…$9 ($108) …5th
A Bowman…15-1…$7 ($105) …14th
RECORD: 0 for 1
TOTAL: -100
ALLY 400: RACE 17 PICKS
CJ Radune
C Elliott…7-1…$20 ($140) …39th/DQ
Kyle B…8-1…$15 ($120) …11th
D Hamlin…8-1…$15 ($120) …21st
M Truex Jr…8-1…$15 ($120) …22nd
J Logano…11-1…$15 ($165) …10th
R Blaney…12-1…$15 ($180) …37th/Acc.
Kurt B…50-1…$5 ($250) …8th
RECORD: 0 for 1
TOTAL: -100
Greg DePalma
C Elliott…7-1…$28 ($196) …39th/DQ
Kyle B…8-1…$23 ($184) …11th
B Keselowski…11-1…$15 ($165) …23rd
J Logano…11-1…$20 ($220) …10th
K Harvick…12-1…$8 ($96) …5th
Kurt B…50-1…$2 ($100) …8th
C Buescher…125-1…$2 ($250) …36th/Acc.
D Suarez…150-1…$2 ($300) …7th
RECORD: 0 for 1
TOTAL: -100
