Prime Sports NASCAR – weekly picks for Sonoma

All three of us hit on Kyle Larson last week as Eric improves to -$63 with CJ and Greg being -$309 and -$759 respectively. This week, it’s to Sonoma where Eric and Greg went heavy on picks and CJ with just two heavy favorites and two mid range sleepers. 

CJ took Chase Elliott (2-1) and Martin Truex Jr. (5-1) as these two drivers are bar none the tops in the game right now on road courses. Elliott, just won at COTA a few weeks ago, won on the Daytona road course last year as well as also the last two years on the Charlotte ROVAL and Watkins Glen. That’s five of the last six. 

Truex, has won in each of the last two years at Sonoma himself. That’s why these two are heavy favorites this weekend. 

He also went wit William Byron (12-1) and Denny Hamlin (14-1). Byron, has had a top 11 in every race since we left Daytona with Hamlin having three top fives in his last four Sonoma starts. Byron’s two worst finishes this season have actually come on road courses though, so Hamlin is the safer pick of the two. 

Eric elected to go against Elliott since the defending Cup champion has never won at Sonoma before and instead took Truex, Kyle Busch (10-1), Byron, Hamlin, Ryan Blaney (20-1), Tyler Reddick (33-1), Chase Briscoe (66-1), Matt DiBenedetto (66-1) and Daniel Suarez (100-1). His strategy was to maybe hit big on Briscoe who was a road racing ace in the Xfinity Series, DiBenedetto who finished in the top five the last time out at Sonoma with Leavine Family Racing or Suarez who’s a a value at 100-1. 

Reddick, won the pole for COTA and enters hot on the season. Blaney, has won in the past on the Charlotte ROVAL and was third last time out in Sonoma and Busch has five straight top seven’s at Sonoma including four of which being in the top five. He was runner-up the last time in Sonoma as Eric took 1-2-3-4-5 from the 2019 Sonoma race for his roster. 

Greg left Elliott and Truex on the table as well as Kyle Larson and went with Busch, Byron, Hamlin, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Kurt Busch, Chris Buescher and Suarez. 

Harvick is a strong pick at (16-1) with him having won twice as well as a runner-up in three of his last four starts. Joey Logano hasn’t had a ton of success at Sonoma but he’s 16-1. Kurt Busch has four top 10’s in his last five Sonoma starts while Chris Buescher has been a top 10 machine lately. 

TOYOTA/SAVE-MART 350: RACE 16

Race Odds

2-1…C Elliott

5-1…M Truex Jr.

6-1…K Larson

10-1…Kyle B

12-1…W Byron

14-1…D Hamlin

16-1…K Harvick and J Logano

20-1…R Blaney, A Bowman and B Keselowski

28-1…C Bell

33-1…Kurt B and T Reddick

66-1…C Briscoe, R Chastain, M DiBenedetto and M McDowell

80-1…C Buescher, C Custer and A Dillon

100-1…D Suarez

150-1…E Jones and R Stenhouse Jr.

200-1…A Almirola and R Newman 

250-1…D Wallace Jr.

 

TOYOTA/SAVE-MART 350: RACE 16 PICKS

 

Eric Smith

M Truex Jr…5-1…$40 ($200)

Kyle B…10-1…$20 ($200)

W Byron…12-1…$12 ($144)

D Hamlin…14-1…$10 ($140)

R Blaney…20-1…$7 ($140)

T Reddick…33-1…$5 ($165)

C Briscoe…66-1…$2 ($132)

M DiBenedetto…66-1…$2 ($132)

D Suarez…100-1…$2 ($200)

 

RECORD: 9 for 15

TOTAL: -63 

 

TOYOTA/SAVE-MART 350: RACE 16 PICKS

 

CJ Radune

C Elliott…2-1…$55 ($110)

M Truex Jr…5-1…$23($115)

W Byron…12-1…$12 ($144)

D Hamlin…14-1…$10 ($140)

 

RECORD: 9 for 15

TOTAL: -309

 

TOYOTA/SAVE-MART 350: RACE 16 PICKS

 

Greg DePalma

Kyle B…10-1…$35 ($350)

W Byron…12-1…$15 ($180)

D Hamlin…14-1…$10 ($140)

K Harvick…16-1…$10 ($160)

J Logano…16-1…$20 ($320)

Kurt B…33-1…$3 ($99)

C Buescher…80-1…$4 ($320)

D Suarez…100-1…$3 ($300)

 

RECORD: 3 for 15

TOTAL: -759

 

Weekly Race Points Standings

 

Week 15 Charlotte

1 Eric +40/-63

2 CJ +33/-309

3 Greg +61/-759

WEEKLY PICKS ARCHIVES

 

COCA-COLA 600: RACE 15 PICKS

COCA-COLA 600 WINNER: KYLE LARSON

 

Eric Smith

M Truex Jr…4-1…$25 ($100) …29th

C Elliott…5-1…$22 ($110) …2nd

Kyle B…6-1…$20 ($120) …3rd

K Larson…6-1…$20 ($120) …1st

W Byron…16-1…$8 ($128) …4th

T Reddick…40-1…$3 ($120) …9th

A Dillon…66-1…$2 ($132) …6th

 

RECORD: 1 for 1

TOTAL: +40

 

COCA-COLA 600: RACE 15 PICKS

 

CJ Radune

M Truex Jr…4-1…$27 ($108) …29th

Kyle B…6-1…$19 ($114) …3rd

K Larson…6-1…$19 ($114) …1st

D Hamlin…8-1…$16 ($128) …7th

A Bowman…14-1…$10 ($140) …5th

W Byron…16-1…$9 ($144) …4th

 

RECORD: 1 for 1

TOTAL: +33

 

COCA-COLA 600: RACE 15 PICKS

 

Greg DePalma

K Larson…6-1…$23 ($138) …1st

J Logano…10-1…$10 ($100) …17th

R Blaney…14-1…$20 ($280) …13th

A Bowman…14-1…$8 ($114) …5th

W Byron…16-1…$30 ($480) …4th

Kurt B…40-1…$3 ($120) …38th/Eng.

T Reddick…40-1…$3 ($120) …9th

C Buescher…150-1…$3 ($450) …8th

 

RECORD: 1 for 1

TOTAL: +61

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