Prime Sports NASCAR – Martinsville picks

For the third time in four weeks, Eric picked the winner right. In fact, for the second time in-a-row, our experts had a day to where they won at the very least $240. Greg won $240 from Ryan Blaney’s win in Atlanta while Eric gambled on Joey Logano for Bristol and it paid off. Logano, led the entire way during the final stage en route to the win in Monday’s rain delayed Bristol dirt race. He netted $290 for that victory.

Eric’s strategy for this race was to go with one of the favorites between Kyle Larson and Christopher Bell, then a few other top dirt drivers and sprinkle in some long shot. I mean, when else are you going to get both Logano (30-1) and Keselowski (33-1)?

Some drivers said prior to Bristol that this race could be more like a slick track and race closer to Richmond and Martinsville rather than a race on dirt. Logano and Keselowski are great at those two tracks, so why not sprinkle some money in their direction?

It paid off.

Eric threw $10 Logano’s way and won $290 back. That puts him at just $58 down from breaking even after the first seven races.

Greg and CJ missed out on Logano and fall -$360 and -$461 on the season respectively.

Now each have another chance for Saturday night’s Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 (7:30 p.m. ET, FS1, MRN).

Eric kept it conservative in eyeing a win again for a smaller margin though. We know Team Penske and Joe Gibbs Racing should be the teams to beat. JGR and Penske have put four cars in the top five of the finishing order in three of the last four Martinsville races and have won four of the last five and five of the last seven there overall too.

So, he took 8 drivers for this weekend, all coming from big teams. He picked 3 of the 4 JGR drivers, all 3 Penske’s and 2 of the 4 at HMS.

Byron (20-1) and Bowman (25-1) are his longer shots with Byron scoring two top eight results in his last three Martinsville starts and Bowman having scored a pair of sixth place finishes a year ago.

Greg did the opposite. He went with Brad Keselowski (5 straight top 5’s), Denny Hamlin (3 top 5’s in his last 5 starts) and Kyle Busch (8 top 5’s in his last 11) as his favorites but longer shots of Bowman (25-1), Matt DiBenedetto (66-1), Daniel Suarez (100-1), Chris Buescher (125-1) and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (150-1). Should Keselowski or Hamlin win, he’d get at least $180. Busch gets him a $20 return with $25 on Bowman. The longer shots net him $198 as the smallest return and up to $1,500 if Stenhouse gets the victory.

CJ though went much like Eric. He went with the heavy favorites with Bowman as his lone long shot. The only top driver that he didn’t take was Keselowski. But, he was the only one to take Chase Elliott (6-1) who’s coming off of a win in the last race at Martinsville last Fall as well as his HMS teammate of Kyle Larson. The thing about Larson is, he’s not had a top five in his last seven Martinsville starts.

The only driver between Truex as the favorite at 5-1 and Bowman at 25-1 that these three didn’t take was Kevin Harvick. That’s by design as Harvick has scored just two top five finishes in his last 17 Martinsville starts.

RACE FUTURES: BLUE-EMU MAXIMUM PAIN RELIEF 500

 

Race Odds

5-1…M Truex Jr. (CJ, Eric)

6-1…C Elliott (CJ) and B Keselowski (Greg, Eric)

7-1…D Hamlin (CJ, Greg, Eric) and J Logano (CJ, Eric)

8-1…R Blaney (CJ, Eric)

12-1…Kyle B (Greg, Eric) and K Larson (CJ)

14-1…K Harvick

20-1…W Byron (Eric)

25-1…A Bowman (CJ, Greg, Eric)

30-1…C Bell and Kurt B

66-1…M DiBenedetto (Greg) and T Reddick

80-1…A Almirola, A Dillon, Newman and D Wallace Jr.

100-1…C Briscoe, C Custer, E Jones and D Suarez (Greg)

125-1…C Buescher (Greg)

150-1…R Stenhouse Jr. (Greg)

250-1…R Chastain and M McDowell

 

BLUE-EMU MAXIMUM PAIN RELIEF 500: RACE 8 PICKS

 

Eric Smith

M Truex Jr…5-1…$20 ($100) 

B Keselowski…6-1…$18 ($108) 

D Hamlin…7-1…$15 ($105) 

J Logano…7-1…$15 ($105) 

R Blaney…8-1…$13 ($104) 

Kyle B…12-1…$9 ($108) 

W Byron…20-1…$5 ($100) 

A Bowman…25-1…$5 ($125) 

 

RECORD: 3 for 7

TOTAL: -58

 

BLUE-EMU MAXIMUM PAIN RELIEF 500: RACE 8 PICKS

 

Greg DePalma

B Keselowski…6-1…$30 ($180) 

D Hamlin…7-1…$35 ($245) 

Kyle B…12-1…$10 ($120) 

A Bowman…25-1…$5 ($125) 

M DiBenedetto…66-1…$3 ($198) 

D Suarez…100-1…$5 ($500) 

C Buescher…125-1…$2 ($250) 

R Stenhouse Jr…150-1…$10 ($1,500) 

 

RECORD: 1 for 7

TOTAL: -360

 

BLUE-EMU MAXIMUM PAIN RELIEF 500: RACE 8 PICKS

 

CJ Radune

M Truex Jr…5-1…$22 ($110) 

C Elliott…6-1…$18 ($110) 

D Hamlin…7-1…$15 ($105) 

J Logano…7-1…$15 ($105) 

R Blaney…8-1…$15 ($120) 

K Larson…12-1…$10 ($120) 

A Bowman…25-1…$5 ($125) 

 

RECORD: 2 for 7

TOTAL: -461

 

Weekly Race Points Standings

 

Week 7 Bristol Dirt

1 Eric +290/-58

2 Greg -100/-360

3 CJ -100/-461

 

Week 6 Atlanta

1 Greg +240/-260

2 Eric -100/-348

3 CJ +19/-361

 

Week 5 Phoenix

1 Eric +20/-248

2 CJ +20/-380

3 Greg -100/-500

 

Week 4 Las Vegas

1 Eric +32/-268 

2 Greg -100/-400

3 CJ -100/-400

 

Week 3 Homestead

1 Greg -100/-200

2 CJ -100/-200

3 Eric -100/-200

 

Week 2 Daytona Road

1 Greg -100/-200

2 CJ -100/-200

3 Eric -100/-200

 

Week 1 Daytona 500

1 Greg -100

2 CJ -100

3 Eric -100 

 

WEEKLY PICKS ARCHIVES

 

FOOD CITY DIRT RACE: RACE 7 PICKS

FOOD CITY DIRT RACE WINNER: JOEY LOGANO

 

Eric Smith

C Bell…5-1…$20 ($100) …34th/Acc.

C Briscoe…9-1…$15 ($135) …20th

A Dillon…9-1…$15 ($135) …21st

R Stenhouse Jr…14-1…$10 ($140)…2nd

A Bowman…20-1…$10 ($200) …22nd

J Logano…30-1…$10 ($300) …1st

B Keselowski…33-1…$10 ($330) …11th

R Newman…50-1…$10 ($500) …5th

 

RECORD: 1 for 1

TOTAL: +290

 

FOOD CITY DIRT RACE: RACE 7 PICKS

 

Greg DePalma

K Larson…2-1…$50 ($100) …29th

R Stenhouse Jr…14-1…$10 ($140)…2nd

R Blaney…16-1…$7 ($112) …8th

Kyle B…18-1…$10 ($180) …17th

B Keselowski…33-1…$6 ($198) …11th

M DiBenedetto…40-1…$5 ($200) …13th

E Jones…40-1…$5 ($200) …9th

R Newman…50-1…$2 ($100) …5th

C Buescher…80-1…$3 ($240) …14th

D Suarez…100-1…$2 ($200) …4th

 

RECORD: 0 for 1

TOTAL: -100

 

FOOD CITY DIRT RACE: RACE 7 PICKS

 

CJ Radune

K Larson…2-1…$58 ($116) …29th

C Bell…5-1…$23 ($115) …34th/Acc.

A Dillon…9-1…$12 ($108) …21st

R Blaney…16-1…$7 ($112) …8th

 

RECORD: 0 for 1

TOTAL: -100

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