NASCAR Track Trends – Las Vegas Motor Speedway

TRACK: Las Vegas Motor Speedway (1.5 mile oval) DISTANCE: 267 Laps – STAGE 1: 80 Laps, Stage 2: 80 Laps, FINAL STAGE 107 LAPS, 400.5 Miles)

Track History:

This will be the 27th time the Cup Series has visited the Las Vegas Motor Speedway. 24 of those would have come in March as the sport added a playoff race there in 2018. But, Vegas has become a track that has produced a ton of lead changes lately with the last three featuring at least 20 including four of the last five overall.

Ford has been the most dominant team on the 1.5-mile track with 13 wins in 26 tries. They’ve won four of the last six.

TRACK TRENDS TO KNOW

Over the past four NASCAR Cup Series seasons, the spring race at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway has been a precursor to how the rest of the campaign will go.

In 2017, Martin Truex Jr. led 150 of the 267 laps in the Cup race en route to a dominating victory. He’d go on to win seven more times that season including the championship as well.

In 2018, Kevin Harvick won his first of eight trips to Victory Lane in the March race in Vegas as he led 214 laps that day. No one won as many races in 2018 as Harvick.

Joey Logano won the last spring races and would march to fifth in the final standings at the end of the year in 2019 and the Championship 4 in 2020.

A lot of Green Flag Racing

Also, expect this race to run under mostly green flag conditions. Last year saw nine cautions, but three were for stage breaks or a competition caution while the others were for single car incidents. The 2019 race saw two caution flags fly — both for stage breaks. In the race in 2018, we saw only four cautions fly for just 29 laps. The spring race has been tame in nature lately.

Usual Suspects Should Win

Over the last 10 Cup races in Vegas, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have combined to win nine of them.

Also, Penske, SHR and JGR/Furniture Row have won the 11 of the last 12 Vegas races. The last non team of them to win other than Kurt Busch’s triumph with Chip Ganassi Racing last Fall? Roush/Fenway Racing (Carl Edwards) in 2011.

Stage 2 Success

Here’s a strange but true stat, the second stage winner at Vegas has won five times (all consecutively) and was fifth in another in seven tries. Kurt Busch snuck up and stole a win last Fall to how this streak ended. Chase Elliott swept both stages last year before cutting a tire in this race in the closing laps.

Vegas Wins For The Grown Folks

Joey Logano’s spring win in 2019 was the first time that a Cup winner was under the age of 30 in any of the last 14 races run at the track. The recent trend shows that the drivers over the age of 30 will be contending for the win on Sunday.

Champions win in Vegas

21 of the last 22 Cup races in Vegas resulted in a past champion winning. The only non title winner to have won at Vegas?

Carl Edwards (twice).

Track Comparison

This is the first track on the schedule that has multiple tracks that you can compare it to. The top two tracks would be the Kentucky Speedway and the Kansas Speedway. All three tracks are similar in shape with all having somewhat new pavement on them. If you wanted to look at past history on tracks to compare Vegas to, I’d start there.

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