Sunday’s Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 Race Preview

Who Will Win Sunday’s Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500

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Kevin Harvick

Harvick has 12 straight top 10 finishes at Texas. Among those are four top two finishes in his last six starts there. In the Fall race, he’s won each of the last three years. 

Kyle Busch

Busch has three straight top 10’s at Texas and trends say he will win. 10th to seventh to fourth to….first? Four of his last five starts have seen him finish in the top 10 in the Lonestar State. 

Joey Logano

He has eight top seven finishes in his last nine Texas starts.

Ryan Blaney

Blaney has a top 12 finish in all but one Texas start. In fact, he has four top eights in his last six tries and the only ones that he doesn’t, he led 145 laps in spring race in 2019 before an engine problem and leading 150 laps and sweeping both stages this past July before a late race fluke caution. 

Sleepers

Kurt Busch

Mr. top 10 machine is a top 10 machine at Texas too. Busch, has seven straight top 10s there and nine in the last 10 years. The only reason for these odds is, his last top five was 2010.

Clint Bowyer

He has four straight top 11s there overall.

Erik Jones

Might be the top sleeper. Jones, has six straight top 10 finishes at Texas including three fourth place runs in his last five overall. Also, in five Xfinity Series tries on the 1.5 mile track, he’s finished in the top four in all including two wins.

Jimmie Johnson

Which one do we get here? From 2006 through 2017, the seven time series champion had 12 top two finishes at Texas and 14 top sixes. Since? 27th, 35th, 15th, 5th, 34th and 26th respectively.

Aric Almirola

With Stewart-Haas Racing, Almirola has four straight top 10 finishes including a seventh place run last spring and a runner up last fall and 10th this past spring. 

Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 Race Preview

The penultimate race of the Round of 8 is here. We will be treated to a show on Sunday. Last year, we saw 26 lead changes in both races at Texas. This past year, we saw a fluke winner in Austin Dillon. What happens now this weekend?

Look for the winner to come from the top 6 Rows. Owners points will make the winner since 16 of the last 18 and 18 of the last 21 Texas races were won from a top 10 starter.

Stewart-Hass Racing will look to pick up where they left off in 2019 with them going 1-2-3 in the Fall race and 2-3-7-8 last spring. They went 5-10-11-39 this past July. 

Harvick hasn’t finished outside the top 10 at Texas since the spring race in 2014. He also has three top two finishes in his last five tries there overall.

He’s the one to beat, especially with him winning the last three Fall races at Texas too. 

The Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota’s may not be. 

Kyle Busch has only two top fives in his last seven Texas starts. Denny Hamlin has four finishes of 20th or worse in his last five. Martin Truex Jr. has never won at Texas before one top five in his last seven.

Brad Keselowski may not be a threat either.

Keselowski has one top 10 at Texas since 2017. Six of his last nine starts there have seen him finish 12th or worse including three of the last five being 26th or worse.

This has all the makings to maybe shuffle up the playoff standings a bit.

Betting The Texas Motor Speedway

Five of the last six winners have come from a top 10 starting position. 

Each of the three manufacturers have won the last three Texas Cup races too. 

All but two races in the stage era has a driver not won a stage and the race itself. In fact, five of the last seven Texas races saw the eventual winner win or finish second in the second stage at that.

Key Stat

There’s been a different winner in all but one race on 1.5-mile tracks this season. If we get another new winner on the season for 1.5-mile standards, then Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., Erik Jones, Aric Almirola, Clint Bowyer, Matt Kenseth, William Byron, Jimmie Johnson or Alex Bowman are your best bets to do.

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