Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN, PRN) Race Preview

TRACK: New Hampshire Motor Speedway (1.058 mile Oval) DISTANCE: 301 Laps – STAGE 1: 75 Laps, Stage 2: 75 Laps, FINAL STAGE 151 LAPS 318.458 Miles)
WEATHER: RAIN 20%, 85 degrees high

Favorites

Kevin Harvick

He’s won this race two years in-a-row now. Harvick, also has seven top five finishes in his last nine starts in the Granite State including three wins in his last five starts there overall.

Denny Hamlin

You can’t overlook him here. He has eight straight top 15 finishes including a runner-up last year and a win in 2017.

Kyle Busch

Is this the spot of his first win? Busch, has 10 top 10 finishes in his last 12 New Hampshire starts including seven of which being in the top three. He also has two wins and four runner-ups in that time frame.

Martin Truex Jr. 

May be a better fantasy play than outright winner. Truex, had five top 10 finishes in his first seven New Hampshire starts. Then, he had two in his next 13 tries there. But, six of his last seven have seen him finish in the top 10 again including five straight in the top seven.

Brad Keselowski

Again, another solid fantasy play but not maybe a favorite. Keselowski, has won in the past (2014) and has 11 top 10 finishes in his last 15 tries, but only one top five in his last four.

Ryan Blaney

He’s quietly been good in New Hampshire. Trends say he will win on Sunday. He was ninth in 2017, seventh in 2018 and fourth last year.

Sleepers

Aric Almirola

I think he can keep the momentum going. Almirola, was fifth and sixth respectively with RPM in 2013 and 2014. He was third in 2018.

Erik Jones

He needs a win. Jones, has two top six finishes in his last three New Hampshire starts including a third place run last year.

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Race Preview

The NASCAR Cup Series makes their lone visit to the Northeast this weekend for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. This race looks to be another Kevin Harvick classic. The Stewart-Haas Racing driver has won each of the last two years there including three of the last five overall. He also has six top five finishes in his last six starts on the season and seven in his last nine New Hampshire Motor Speedway starts overall.

Plus, it’s not like he may have any resistance from Hendrick Motorsports or Team Penske. HMS is struggling right now and New Hampshire hasn’t been kind to them in the past either.

Chase Elliott, has one top 10 in six tries. William Byron’s best finish is 12th. Alex Bowman’s best result is 11th. Jimmie Johnson, has no top five finishes there since 2014.

Last year, HMS finished 12-14-29-30.

For Penske, they will be solid fantasy plays but not necessarily strong race winning pace.

While Brad Keselowski hasn’t won at NHMS since 2014, he does have 11 top 10 finishes in his last 15 tries there. In his last four results, he may only have one top five (2018) but he does have three top 10’s too.

Keselowski, enters this weekend on the heels of 13 top 11 finishes in his last 14 tries on the season.

What about Joey Logano? He finally ended a top five slump a few weeks ago in Texas. He has three straight top 10 finishes at New Hampshire and at one point between Sept. 2014 and July 2014, he had four straight top four finishes.

That leaves Ryan Blaney. He’s trending better each year on this track. He was ninth in 2017, seventh in 2018 and fourth last year. Why not another top five? Blaney, has six top seven finishes in his last nine starts on the season.

Plus, Chevrolet has one win in its last 13 New Hampshire starts.

That’s why this race bodes down to a SHR vs. Joe Gibbs Racing showdown but with Toyota being so up and down, why go against the hottest team in NASCAR?

Key Stat

Here’s an odd stat for you, starting position hasn’t matter much at New Hampshire like it has elsewhere. Five of the last seven New Hampshire winners have come from a starting spot outside of the top 12.

They Said It

“That relationship really works well,” said Denny Hamlin of his crew chief Chris Gabehart. “We’re building a notebook. That notebook is getting thicker and thicker. The knowledge is getting greater and greater. That’s why you’re seeing the results you’re seeing.”

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