Will We See a 3rd Straight 1st Time Winner In The Cup Series?

Can history be made on Saturday night at the Kentucky Speedway? It’s certainly possible. For the second straight weekend, we had a first time winner in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series when Justin Haley stole a win in last Sunday’s rain marred Coke Zero Sugar 400 at the Daytona International Speedway. That was his first career Cup win in just his third ever start in NASCAR’s premiere series.

That comes exactly a week after Alex Bowman earned his first career Cup win in the Camping World 400 at the Chicagoland Speedway. Now, can we go three-for-three on NBC Sports’ coverage?

If so, then who?

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Daniel Suarez during practice for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series STP 500 at Martinsville Speedway on March 23, 2019 in Martinsville, Virginia.

14 of the 36 drivers entered in Saturday night’s Quaker State 400 (7:30 p.m. ET/NBCSN/PRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) have failed to win a Cup race in their respective careers. That’s counting the two TBA entries for Rick Ware Racing as those drivers will likely be two drivers to have never won before too.

But, with what’s coming up next, other than Watkins Glen in August and Talladega in October, only a couple of these drivers have a realistic shot of winning this weekend or in any of the non wildcard races on the remaining schedule.

So, among the 12 that we do know, lets rank the top ones who can win.

  1. William Byron – He’s been so close already. Byron, earned his first career top five finish last weekend in Daytona and has four top 10 finishes in his last six starts on the season including five in his last eight overall. For his Cup career, Byron has made 54 starts with 10 top 10’s. He does have 11 combined wins in the XFINITY as well as the Truck Series, so he knows how to win and has the top equipment among the winless drivers.
  2. Daniel Suarez – Saturday night will be Suarez’ 91st Cup Series start. It’s hard to believe the Mexican driver hasn’t won a Cup race yet, but he likely will soon. Suarez, has six top five finishes and 27 top 10’s overall including two in his last five starts on the season. He’s got the second best car among the winless drivers.
  3. Matt DiBenedetto – If he had a quality ride, DiBenedetto would have won by now. He’s made 158 career Cup starts with none of which being with one of the top teams. DiBenedetto, has consistently outran his equipment as he has one top five and six top 10 finishes in his career. He also has two top eight finishes in his last three starts on the season.
  4. Daniel Hemric – It’s hard to believe Hemric has never won a NASCAR race. He’s made 136 career starts across the Trucks, NXS and Cup Series and the North Carolina native has never tasted victory lane. Hemric, has one top 10 finish this season with a fourth place run back in April in Talladega. He’s a rookie with a rebuilding RCR team, so forgive him if the results have been slow in 2019. But, in 66 career NXS starts, he has 23 top five finishes and 39 top 10’s. In 50 Truck Series starts, he had 15 top fives and 30 top 10’s. Hemric, knows his way to the front, he just needs to find the path again.
  5. Ty Dillon – The Germain Racing driver has had a struggling start to his Cup career. But, he’s with a team without all the resources of his peers. Dillon, has made 108 starts in his career and just earned his first career top five finish last weekend in Daytona. He has three top 10 finishes in his career, two of which coming in 2019 too. But, it’s not like Dillon doesn’t know how to win though. Dillon, won four times in the NXS and Truck Series combined including over 100 combined top 10 finishes too. Like DiBenedetto, if he had quality equipment on a weekly basis, he’d be visiting victory lane much more.
  6. Ryan Preece – He’s only made 81 career NASCAR starts but Preece has the potential to be a big name if he can get to a big team. He bet on himself and it paid off. He’s in the Cup Series. While his team isn’t necessarily a top team, he can land in one eventually. Preece, has one top five and two top 10 finishes in 23 career Cup starts. He’s won twice in 58 career NXS starts.
  7. Darrell Wallace Jr. – A win isn’t coming any time soon with RPM. But, it’s not like Wallace isn’t talented. He just can’t get the most out of a struggling car. Wallace, has six Truck Series wins to his credit but he can’t beat the other six with where he’s at right now.
  8. Matt Tifft – Like most of the drivers above him, unless it’s a superspeedway track, Tifft will have a hard time finding victory lane. Tifft, is a rookie in the series and just made his 18th career start. He did have nine top five finishes and 38 top 10’s in 77 career NXS starts but failed to win in that series too. Overall, Tifft is a lot like Hemric in that he’s been solid in all three NASCAR divisions but he’s yet to win.
  9. Michael McDowell – His car has been better lately, but it’s still not a race winning caliber of one away from superspeedway’s. McDowell, has one NASCAR win in 399 career starts. He’s 0-for-303 in the Cup Series with just two top five finishes and seven top 10’s. I don’t see a win coming soon.
  10. Corey LaJoie – He earned his first top 10 finish last weekend in Daytona. GoFas Racing unfortunately doesn’t have the equipment to win away from Daytona or Talladega. They can be that storybook top 10 every once in a while, but a win is far fetched.

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