INDIANAPOLIS — Chevrolet is a perfect 2-for-2 here on the road course but just 1-for-3 on the season on them. Chevy went 5-for-6 last year on road courses and had won the final six road races in 2021 too.

Factor in the 2019 race at Watkins Glen (2 races in 2019) and the 2 races (Daytona, Charlotte) in 2020 and you get Chevy scoring 16 wins in the last 20 road course races in general.

Chevrolet has always had a leg up over the competition in Indianapolis anyhow. From the inaugural race in1994 through 2014, a bowtie was found in victory lane an astounding 16 times in a 21 year span including 12 straight.

However, it was more of a competition from then on out. Toyota won in 2015 and 2016, Chevrolet went back to victory lane in 2017 before Ford scored the final 3 wins on the oval in 2018, 2019 and 2020. Now, it’s back to Chevy.

Who wins out on Sunday?

We know Ford’s are lagging on these tracks. They led four laps in COTA, two in Sonoma and none in Chicago.

Chevy led 29 of 75 laps in COTA, 25 of 110 in Sonoma and 32 of 78 in Chicago. Toyota’s by comparison led 42 of 75 in COTA, 84 of 110 in Sonoma and 46 of 78 in Chicago. So, who has the leg up between them?

Is Toyota all the way back?

Top 5 Picks

1. 8 Busch – The car won here last year. Busch has a top 5 in all 3 road races run this season. He starts 5th on Sunday.
2. 34 McDowell – 2nd best car in Sonoma, was 8th last yaer and this year starts 4th.
3. 45 Reddick – The defending race winner starts 2nd.
4. 19 Truex Jr. – One of the hottest drivers on the season will roll off 12th.
5. 17 Buescher – A sleeper despite coming into the weekend with two straight wins.