Updated race day Indy 500 betting preview

INDIANAPOLIS — For the first time, betting for the Indianapolis 500 is legal here in the Hoosier State. With that said, this is a big race to see some action. So, want some last minute advice?

Scott Dixon is the heavy favorite and rightfully so too. He’s been in the top three of literally every practice session run and rolls off second today. He started second in the last superspeedway race of the season (Texas) and only led 157 of 200 laps in a dominating win. But, be wary on Dixon too. He’s only had two top five finishes in his last seven Indy 500 tries. He’s not won here since 2008. He has 49 career wins, 47 of them have come at places outside of the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

Also, the rookies seem quick this year. Rinus VeeKay starts fourth. Alex Palou has been in the top 10 of every speed chart this month and starts one row behind VeeKay in seventh. Pato O’Ward was fastest on Carb Day. But, in the previous 103 years of this race, only nine times has a rookie one. It’s happened just three times in the last 52 years and only four times in the last 91 years. Beware here.

Also, we can probably eliminated some second year drivers too. Other than Juan Pablo Montoya (3rd start) and Alexander Rossi (1st start) winning in 2015 and 2016 respectively, 12 of the last 14 race winners here have made at least five Indy 500 starts.

Then, you have Simon Pagenaud who won this race last year. He starts 25th. He looks good in race traffic, but only two times in the last 65 years has someone won this race in back-to-back years.

Lets eliminate some more.

The “Big 3” (Andretti, Penske and Ganassi) have won 13 of the last 15 Indy 500’s and 17 of the last 19 overall. They’ve won over 80 percent of the races in the series since the start of 2018 too.

The race has also had a new winner in each of the last six years here too. All have been first time winners.

Out of the “Big 3” that are left, that leaves Marco Andretti, James Hinchcliffe and Josef Newgarden that fit all the criteria above. Zach Veach and Jack Harvey would be close in each making their fourth career starts too.

So, knowing these trends, who do you bet on?

Here you go

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